In economics and game theory, an all-pay auction is an auction in which every bidder must pay regardless of whether they win the prize, which is awarded to the highest bidder as in a conventional auction. As shown by Riley and Samuelson (1981), equilibrium bidding in an all pay auction with private information is revenue equivalent to bidding in a sealed high bid or open ascending price auction.
In the simplest version, there is complete information. The Nash equilibrium is such that each bidder plays a mixed strategy and expected pay-offs are zero.Jehiel P, Moldovanu B (2006) Allocative and informational externalities in auctions and related mechanisms. In: Blundell R, Newey WK, Persson T (eds) Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Volume 1: Theory and Applications, Ninth World Congress, vol 1, Cambridge University Press, chap 3 The seller's expected revenue is equal to the value of the prize. However, some economic experiments and studies have shown that over-bidding is common. That is, the seller's revenue frequently exceeds that of the value of the prize, in hopes of securing the winning bid. In repeated games even bidders that win the prize frequently will most likely take a loss in the long run.
The all-pay auction with complete information does not have a Nash equilibrium in pure strategies, but does have a Nash equilibrium in mixed-strategies.
The dollar auction is a two player Tullock auction, or a multiplayer game in which only the two highest bidders pay their bids. Another practical examples are the bidding fee auction and the penny raffle (pejoratively known as a "Chinese auction").
Other forms of all-pay auctions exist, such as a war of attrition (also known as biological auctions), in which the highest bidder wins, but all (or more typically, both) bidders pay only the lower bid. The war of attrition is used by biologists to model conventional contests, or agonistic interactions resolved without recourse to physical aggression.
If player bids , he wins the auction only if his bid is larger than player 's bid . The probability for this to happen is
, since is monotone and
Thus, the probability of allocation of good to is . Thus, 's expected utility when he bids as if his private value is is given by
.
For to be a Bayesian-Nash Equilibrium, should have its maximum at so that has no incentive to deviate given sticks with his bid of .
Upon integrating, we get .
We know that if player has private valuation , then they will bid 0; . We can use this to show that the constant of integration is also 0.
Thus, we get .
Since this function is indeed monotone increasing, this bidding strategy constitutes a Bayesian-Nash Equilibrium. The revenue from the all-pay auction in this example is
Since are drawn iid from Unif0,1, the expected revenue is
.
Due to the revenue equivalence theorem, all auctions with 2 players will have an expected revenue of when the private valuations are iid from Unif0,1.Algorithmic Game Theory. Vazirani, Vijay V; Nisan, Noam; Roughgarden, Tim; Tardos, Eva; Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2007. Complete preprint on-line at http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~sandholm/cs15-892F13/algorithmic-game-theory.pdf
Because the game is symmetric, the optimal bidding function must be the same for all players. Call this optimal bidding function . Because each player's payoff is defined as their expected gain minus their bid, we can recursively define the optimal bid function as follows:
Note because F is smooth the probability of a tie is zero. This means the probability of winning the auction will be equal to the CDF raised to the number of players minus 1: i.e., .
The objective now satisfies the requirements for the envelope theorem. Thus, we can write:
This yields the unique symmetric Nash Equilibrium bidding function .
This is a typical model for all-pay auction. To calculate the optimal bid for each donor, we need to normalize the valuations {250, 500, 750} to {0.25, 0.5, 0.75} so that IPV may apply.
According to the formula for optimal bid:
The optimal bids for three donors under IPV are:
To get the real optimal amount that each of the three donors should give, simply multiplied the IPV values by 1000:
This example implies that the official will finally get $375 but only the third donor, who donated $281.3 will win the official's favor. Note that the other two donors know their valuations are not high enough (low chance of winning), so they do not donate much, thus balancing the possible huge winning profit and the low chance of winning.
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